Florida Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rick Scott an 82% chance of winning the Florida Senate 2024 primary. Rick Scott won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Rick Scott — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell — 18% model odds
  3. Ben Everidge — 0% model odds
  4. Feena Bonoan — 0% model odds
  5. Tuan Tq Nguyen — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts