Connecticut Senate 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Murphy an 83% chance of winning the Connecticut Senate 2024 primary. Chris Murphy won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Chris Murphy — 83% model odds
- Matthew Corey — 17% model odds
- Chris Murphy — 0% model odds
- Chris Murphy — 0% model odds (won)
- Robert F. Hyde — 0% model odds
- Justin Paglino — 0% model odds