Vermont Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Phil Scott a 95% chance of winning the Vermont Governor 2022 primary. Phil Scott won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Phil Scott — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Brenda Siegel — 5% model odds
  3. Kevin Hoyt — 0% model odds
  4. Peter Duval — 0% model odds
  5. Bernard Peters — 0% model odds
  6. Rejected Ballots — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts