Texas Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Greg Abbott a 65% chance of winning the Texas Governor 2022 primary. Greg Abbott won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Greg Abbott — 65% model odds (won)
  2. Allen West — 5% model odds
  3. Don Huffines — 5% model odds
  4. Chad Prather — 5% model odds
  5. Ricky Lynn Perry — 5% model odds
  6. Kandy Kaye Horn — 5% model odds
  7. Paul Belew — 5% model odds
  8. Danny Harrison — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts