South Dakota Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kristi Noemlarry Rhoden an 89% chance of winning the South Dakota Governor 2022 primary. Kristi Noemlarry Rhoden won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kristi Noemlarry Rhoden — 89% model odds (won)
2. Jamie Smithjennifer Healy Keintz — 11% model odds
3. Tracey Quintashley Strand — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts