South Carolina Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Henry Mcmaster a 93% chance of winning the South Carolina Governor 2022 primary. Henry Mcmaster won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Henry Mcmaster — 93% model odds (won)
  2. Harrison Musselwhite — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts