Pennsylvania Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Austin Davis a 33% chance of winning the Pennsylvania Governor 2022 primary. Austin Davis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Austin Davis — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Brian Sims — 33% model odds
  3. Ray Sosa — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts