Oregon Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tina Kotek a 7% chance of winning the Oregon Governor 2022 primary. Tina Kotek won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tina Kotek — 7% model odds (won)
  2. Tobias Read — 7% model odds
  3. Patrick Starnes — 7% model odds
  4. George Carrillo — 7% model odds
  5. Michael Trimble — 7% model odds
  6. John Sweeney — 7% model odds
  7. Julian Bell — 7% model odds
  8. Wilson Bright — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts