Oregon Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tina Kotek an 82% chance of winning the Oregon Governor 2022 primary. Tina Kotek won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tina Kotek — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Christine Drazan — 18% model odds
  3. Betsy Johnson — 0% model odds
  4. Donice Noelle Smith — 0% model odds
  5. R. Leon Noble — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts