Oklahoma Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kevin Stitt an 80% chance of winning the Oklahoma Governor 2022 primary. Kevin Stitt won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kevin Stitt — 80% model odds (won)
  2. Joel Kintsel — 7% model odds
  3. Mark Sherwood — 7% model odds
  4. Moira Mccabe — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts