New York Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kathy Hochul an 86% chance of winning the New York Governor 2022 primary. Kathy Hochul won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kathy Hochul — 86% model odds (won)
  2. Jumaane Williams — 7% model odds
  3. Tom Suozzi — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts