New York Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kathy Hochulantonio Delgado a 92% chance of winning the New York Governor 2022 primary. Kathy Hochulantonio Delgado won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Kathy Hochulantonio Delgado — 92% model odds
2. Kathy Hochulantonio Delgado — 8% model odds (won)
3. Kathy Hochulantonio Delgado — 0% model odds
4. Lee Zeldinalison Esposito — 0% model odds
5. Lee Zeldinalison Esposito — 0% model odds
6. Lee Zeldinalison Esposito — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts