New Mexico Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michelle Lujan Grishamhowie Morales an 82% chance of winning the New Mexico Governor 2022 primary. Michelle Lujan Grishamhowie Morales won, matching the model's top pick.
- Michelle Lujan Grishamhowie Morales — 82% model odds (won)
- Mark Ronchettiant Thornton — 18% model odds
- Jr. Karen Bedonieefren Gallardo — 0% model odds