New Hampshire Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Sununu a 71% chance of winning the New Hampshire Governor 2022 primary. Chris Sununu won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Sununu — 71% model odds (won)
  2. Karen Testerman — 6% model odds
  3. Thaddeus Riley — 6% model odds
  4. Julian Acciard — 6% model odds
  5. Jay Lewis — 6% model odds
  6. Richard Mcmenamon Ii — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts