New Hampshire Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Sununu an 82% chance of winning the New Hampshire Governor 2022 primary. Chris Sununu won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Sununu — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Tom Sherman — 18% model odds
  3. Kelly Halldorson — 0% model odds
  4. Karlyn Borysenko — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts