Michigan Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gretchen Whitmergarlin Gilchrist an 81% chance of winning the Michigan Governor 2022 primary. Gretchen Whitmergarlin Gilchrist won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Gretchen Whitmergarlin Gilchrist — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Tudor Dixonshane Hernandez — 19% model odds
  3. Mary Buzumabrian Ellison — 0% model odds
  4. Donna Brandenburgmellissa Carone — 0% model odds
  5. Kevin Hogandestiny Clayton — 0% model odds
  6. Daryl M. Simpsondoug Dern — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts