Maryland Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Wes Moorearuna Miller a 10% chance of winning the Maryland Governor 2022 primary. Wes Moorearuna Miller won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Wes Moorearuna Miller — 10% model odds (won)
  2. Tom Perezshannon Sneed — 10% model odds
  3. Peter Franchotmonique Anderson-Walker — 10% model odds
  4. Rushern Baker (Withdrawn)Nancy Navarro (Withdrawn) — 10% model odds
  5. Doug Ganslercandace Hollingsworth — 10% model odds
  6. John King Jr.Michelle Siri — 10% model odds
  7. Ashwani Jainlatrece Hawkins Lytes — 10% model odds
  8. Jon Baronnatalie Williams — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts