Massachusetts Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Geoff Diehl a 50% chance of winning the Massachusetts Governor 2022 primary. Geoff Diehl won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Geoff Diehl — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Chris Doughty — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts