Kansas Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Derek Schmidtkatie Sawyer a 50% chance of winning the Kansas Governor 2022 primary. Derek Schmidtkatie Sawyer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Derek Schmidtkatie Sawyer — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Arlyn Briggslance Berland — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts