Kansas Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Laura Kellydavid Toland an 89% chance of winning the Kansas Governor 2022 primary. Laura Kellydavid Toland won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Laura Kellydavid Toland — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Derek Schmidtkatie Sawyer — 11% model odds
  3. Dennis Pylekathleen Garrison — 0% model odds
  4. Seth Cordellevan Laudick-Gains — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts