Idaho Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brad Little a 54% chance of winning the Idaho Governor 2022 primary. Brad Little won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brad Little — 54% model odds (won)
  2. Janice Mcgeachin — 7% model odds
  3. Ed Humphreys — 7% model odds
  4. Steve Bradshaw — 7% model odds
  5. Ashley Jackson — 7% model odds
  6. Lisa Marie — 7% model odds
  7. Ben Cannady — 7% model odds
  8. Cody Usabel — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts