Idaho Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brad Little an 89% chance of winning the Idaho Governor 2022 primary. Brad Little won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brad Little — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Stephen Heidt — 11% model odds
  3. Ammon Bundy — 0% model odds
  4. Paul Sand — 0% model odds
  5. Chantyrose Davison — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts