Iowa Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kim Reynoldsadam Gregg an 82% chance of winning the Iowa Governor 2022 primary. Kim Reynoldsadam Gregg won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kim Reynoldsadam Gregg — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Deidre Dejeareric Van Lacker — 18% model odds
  3. Rick Stewartmarco Battaglia — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts