Hawaii Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Josh Green a 14% chance of winning the Hawaii Governor 2022 primary. Josh Green won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Josh Green — 14% model odds (won)
  2. Vicky Cayetano — 14% model odds
  3. Kai Kahele — 14% model odds
  4. Van Tanabe — 14% model odds
  5. Richard Kim — 14% model odds
  6. David Bourgoin — 14% model odds
  7. Clyde Lewman — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts