Hawaii Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Josh Greensylvia Luke a 95% chance of winning the Hawaii Governor 2022 primary. Josh Greensylvia Luke won, matching the model's top pick.
- Josh Greensylvia Luke — 95% model odds (won)
- Duke Aionaseaula Tupa'I Jr. — 5% model odds