Georgia Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brian Kemp a 95% chance of winning the Georgia Governor 2022 primary. Brian Kemp won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brian Kemp — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Stacey Abrams — 5% model odds
  3. Shane T. Hazel — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts