Florida Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Charlie Crist a 25% chance of winning the Florida Governor 2022 primary. Charlie Crist won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Charlie Crist — 25% model odds (won)
  2. Nicole "Nikki" Fried — 25% model odds
  3. Cadance Daniel — 25% model odds
  4. Robert L. Willis — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts