Florida Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ron Desantisjeanette Nuñez a 67% chance of winning the Florida Governor 2022 primary. Ron Desantisjeanette Nuñez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ron Desantisjeanette Nuñez — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Charlie Crist Karla Hernandez — 33% model odds
  3. Carmen Jackie Gimenez Kyle "Kc" Gibson — 0% model odds
  4. Hector Roos Jerry "Tub" Rorabaugh — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts