Colorado Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jared Polisdianne Primavera an 89% chance of winning the Colorado Governor 2022 primary. Jared Polisdianne Primavera won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jared Polisdianne Primavera — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Heidi Ganahldanny Moore — 11% model odds
  3. Kevin Ruskuskymichele Poague — 0% model odds
  4. Danielle Neuschwangerdarryl Gibbs — 0% model odds
  5. Paul Noël Fiorinocynthia Munhos De Aquino Sirianni — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts