Arizona Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Katie Hobbs a 33% chance of winning the Arizona Governor 2022 primary. Katie Hobbs won, matching the model's top pick.
- Katie Hobbs — 33% model odds (won)
- Marco A. López Jr. — 33% model odds
- Aaron Lieberman (Withdrawn) — 33% model odds