Arkansas Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sarah Huckabee Sanders an 84% chance of winning the Arkansas Governor 2022 primary. Sarah Huckabee Sanders won, matching the model's top pick.
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders — 84% model odds (won)
- Chris Jones — 11% model odds
- Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. — 5% model odds