Alabama Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kay Ivey a 50% chance of winning the Alabama Governor 2022 primary. Kay Ivey won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kay Ivey — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Lynda Blanchard — 6% model odds
  3. Tim James — 6% model odds
  4. Lew Burdette — 6% model odds
  5. Dean Odle — 6% model odds
  6. Donald Trent Jones — 6% model odds
  7. Dave Thomas — 6% model odds
  8. Stacy Lee George — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts