Alaska Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Dunleavynancy Dahlstrom a 71% chance of winning the Alaska Governor 2022 primary. Mike Dunleavynancy Dahlstrom won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Dunleavynancy Dahlstrom — 71% model odds (won)
  2. Charlie Pierceedie Grunwald — 7% model odds
  3. Christopher Kurkapaul Hueper — 7% model odds
  4. Bruce Waldentanya Lange — 7% model odds
  5. David Haegwaynette Coleman — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts