Alaska Governor 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Dunleavynancy Dahlstrom a 52% chance of winning the Alaska Governor 2022 primary. Mike Dunleavynancy Dahlstrom won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mike Dunleavynancy Dahlstrom — 52% model odds (won)
2. Charlie Pierceedie Grunwald (Withdrew) — 46% model odds
3. Bill Walkerheidi Drygas — 3% model odds
4. Les Garajessica Cook — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts