New Hampshire Governor 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Sununu an 86% chance of winning the New Hampshire Governor 2020 primary. Chris Sununu won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Sununu — 86% model odds (won)
  2. Karen Testerman — 7% model odds
  3. Nobody — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts