Wisconsin Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scott Walkerrebecca Kleefisch a 58% chance of winning the Wisconsin Governor 2018 primary. Tony Eversmandela Barnes won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Scott Walkerrebecca Kleefisch — 58% model odds
  2. Tony Eversmandela Barnes — 42% model odds (won)
  3. Phil Andersonpatrick Baird — 0% model odds
  4. Margaret Turnbullwil Losch — 0% model odds
  5. Michael J. Whitetiffany Anderson — 0% model odds
  6. Arnie Enz — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts