Vermont Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christine Hallquist a 25% chance of winning the Vermont Governor 2018 primary. Christine Hallquist won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Christine Hallquist — 25% model odds (won)
2. James Ehlers — 25% model odds
3. Brenda Siegel — 25% model odds
4. Ethan Sonneborn — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts