Vermont Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Phil Scott a 95% chance of winning the Vermont Governor 2018 primary. Phil Scott won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Phil Scott — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Christine Hallquist — 5% model odds
  3. Trevor Barlow — 0% model odds
  4. Charles Laramie — 0% model odds
  5. Cris Ericson — 0% model odds
  6. Stephen Marx — 0% model odds
  7. Emily Peyton — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts