Texas Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Greg Abbott an 87% chance of winning the Texas Governor 2018 primary. Greg Abbott won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Greg Abbott — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Barbara Krueger — 7% model odds
  3. Larry Kilgore — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts