Tennessee Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bill Lee a 17% chance of winning the Tennessee Governor 2018 primary. Bill Lee won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Bill Lee — 17% model odds (won)
2. Randy Boyd — 17% model odds
3. Diane Black — 17% model odds
4. Beth Harwell — 17% model odds
5. Kay White — 17% model odds
6. Basil Marceaux — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts