New York Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andrew Cuomo a 46% chance of winning the New York Governor 2018 primary. Andrew Cuomo won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Andrew Cuomo — 46% model odds (won)
2. Kathy Hochul — 46% model odds
3. Cynthia Nixon — 4% model odds
4. Jumaane Williams — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts