Nevada Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adam Laxalt a 79% chance of winning the Nevada Governor 2018 primary. Steve Sisolak won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Adam Laxalt — 79% model odds
  2. Steve Sisolak — 21% model odds (won)
  3. Of These Candidates — 0% model odds
  4. Ryan Bundy — 0% model odds
  5. Russell Best — 0% model odds
  6. Jared Lord — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts