New Mexico Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michelle Lujan Grisham a 33% chance of winning the New Mexico Governor 2018 primary. Michelle Lujan Grisham won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michelle Lujan Grisham — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Jeff Apodaca — 33% model odds
  3. Joe Cervantes — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts