New Hampshire Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Sununu a 70% chance of winning the New Hampshire Governor 2018 primary. Chris Sununu won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Sununu — 70% model odds (won)
  2. Molly Kelly — 30% model odds
  3. Jilletta Jarvis — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts