Minnesota Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tim Walz a 20% chance of winning the Minnesota Governor 2018 primary. Tim Walz won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tim Walz — 20% model odds (won)
2. Erin Murphy — 20% model odds
3. Lori Swanson — 20% model odds
4. Tim Holden — 20% model odds
5. Olé Savior — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts