Minnesota Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tim Walz an 83% chance of winning the Minnesota Governor 2018 primary. Tim Walz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tim Walz — 83% model odds (won)
  2. Jeff Johnson — 17% model odds
  3. Chris Wright — 0% model odds
  4. Josh Welter — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts