Michigan Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gretchen Whitmer a 33% chance of winning the Michigan Governor 2018 primary. Gretchen Whitmer won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Gretchen Whitmer — 33% model odds (won)
2. Abdul El-Sayed — 33% model odds
3. Shri Thanedar — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts