Maryland Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ben Jealous an 11% chance of winning the Maryland Governor 2018 primary. Ben Jealous won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ben Jealous — 11% model odds (won)
  2. Rushern Baker — 11% model odds
  3. Jim Shea — 11% model odds
  4. Krish O'Mara Vignarajah — 11% model odds
  5. Richard Madaleno — 11% model odds
  6. Kevin Kamenetz/Valerie Ervin — 11% model odds
  7. Alec Ross — 11% model odds
  8. Ralph Jaffe — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts