Kansas Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeff Colyer a 57% chance of winning the Kansas Governor 2018 primary. Kris Kobach won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Jeff Colyer — 57% model odds
  2. Kris Kobach — 7% model odds (won)
  3. Jim Barnett — 7% model odds
  4. Ken Selzer — 7% model odds
  5. Patrick Kucera — 7% model odds
  6. Tyler Ruzich — 7% model odds
  7. Joseph Tutera Jr. — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts