Iowa Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kim Reynolds an 89% chance of winning the Iowa Governor 2018 primary. Kim Reynolds won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kim Reynolds — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Fred Hubbell — 11% model odds
  3. Jake Porter — 0% model odds
  4. Gary Siegwarth — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts